Time Flies- Another Week Behind Us

By: Mark Wisterman

My 2013 Photo-Web-Revised

 

The preliminary market results are in for home sales in the Lake Oroville real estate for the most recent week.

I say preliminary because I discovered a bit of a glitch in how I have been reporting the weekly home sales numbers for the Oroville market. The week that I report on runs from Friday through Thursday of each week. What I discovered is that some agents are not getting their sales logged into our multiple listing service in time for me to pick them up for my weekly report causing an under reporting issue for Lake Oroville area home sales.  To correct this issue I will be revising the previous weekly Oroville home sales numbers at the time that I gather data on the recent weekly market numbers. I want you to have the most current and relevant data as you can possibly have and this new reporting standard will help with that.

Speaking of current and relevant numbers, I am making big change in this weekly report chart. Beginning with this report I am no longer providing data on the number of bank-owned Oroville homes for sale or the number of homes for sale in the Oroville market that are considered short sales. The reason for this is that the current level of these homes on the market is insignificant and they are no longer making a major impact on the market. I am still tracking the numbers but will no longer report them on this site.

In place of these numbers I have added something that I think, going forward, will provide more perspective on the market than the reporting of REO do. Continue reading

YAWN!! Another Week Has Passed

By: Mark Wisterman

My 2013 Photo-Web-Revised

 The sleepy real estate market in the Lake Oroville area continues to hit the “snooze”  alarm as the market seems to be sleep walking through yet another month.

When a market turns as this one has over the past few weeks some may think that the buyers are beginning to leave the market. If the recent activity in our office is any indication what is going on in overall home sales activity in the Oroville real estate market, that thinking would be incorrect. For example, I have shown more buyers Oroville homes for sale in the past couple weeks than I have at any other time this year. The buyers are not sitting on the sidelines worrying about interest rate increases. The fact is that Oroville buyers are now shopping more cautiously, and are beginning to consider  the actual value of the homes at which they are looking, not wanting to overpay for their next home.

So how do more Oroville homes get sold at a quicker pace? Continue reading

Lake Oroville Real Estate Market Review

By: Mark Wisterman

My 2013 Photo-Web-Revised

This is starting to get down right boring.

Another slow week in the Lake Oroville real estate market this past week.  Yes, it is true that the number of Oroville homes that sold in the past week is the best it has been in about 5 weeks. But that may be the only semi-bright spot in these numbers.  I say semi-bright because if you look at the average sales price of each Oroville home sale it clearly shows that most of the sales that took place this week in Oroville were very low priced homes that appear to have been snapped up by investors.

Tune in next week for more….hopefully good news! Continue reading

What’s Happening???????

By: Mark Wisterman

My 2013 Photo-Web-Revised

 

So do you ever wonder how a real estate agent reacts to a weekly market report like this one after being through 7 years of career challenges like the Lake Oroville real estate market  has presented?

The answer lies in the 1982 movie “Poltergeist” Click on the image to get the answer.

Continue reading

Bitten By The Back-To-School Bug?

By: Mark Wisterman

My 2013 Photo-Web-Revised

 

Sorry for being a few days late with last week’s sales information for the Lake Oroville real estate market.

I got caught up in “reporting” on the current fire situation in the foothill area just outside Oroville. What turned out to be taking a few photos of the fire turned into an hourly Facebook posting with updates from CAL-FIRE which took up most of my weekend.

In any event, here are the numbers for the week. One of the biggest challenges with reporting the Lake Oroville real estate market activity is that we are a fairly small market. As a result the weekly numbers have a tendency to be somewhat volatile making it difficult to really get a feel for what is going on.

As we have discussed here many times before , the week to week, or month to month, or even the year over year numbers tell only a small part of the story of the market. In my view, it is the TREND that is important to watch when attempting to gauge the market.  To help you spot how things are trending in the Lake Oroville home sales market, Continue reading

Look Ma, No REO’s!

By: Mark Wisterman

My 2013 Photo-Web-Revised

 

Well, well, well what do we have here in the Lake Oroville area? The end of the Oroville foreclosure market?

Looking at this week’s home sales data for the Greater Oroville area you might draw such a conclusion being  there was not ONE foreclosed property that sold in the past week. (see the red highlighted stat).  To bolster your conclusion you may also point to the fact  that this is the first week since I have been tracking this number dating back to October 2009 that there has not been at least one bank-owned Oroville home that has sold.

As I prepared to share this week’s Oroville real estate information with you my plan was to caution you that we should certainly expect to see more foreclosure sales take place and that it is a little early to say the foreclosure market in the Oroville area has met with extinction.  However, as I was typing the first paragraph of this weekly editorial, and because I am such a great multitasker, I began think that I may be…..yes, wrong!

Maybe the “foreclosure market” IS over! Oh sure, there are still bank-owned homes for sale, but does the current inventory of Oroville bank-owned homes (19 homes, or less than 10% of the available inventory) actually constitute a “market?”  I wonder?

Here is another interesting fact this week: Continue reading

Lake Oroville Home Sales Weekly Review

Here are the numbers for the Lake Oroville real estate market for the week ending 6/6/2013.

 

If you only look at the percentage change from the previous week you would think the Oroville market was crashing. But, fear not. It looks like that we just cleared up some inventory of homes that had been on the market for what now is an unusually long amount of time.  Most of what sold was REALLY distressed property that would not qualify for any type of institutional loan, and, that I am guessing, investors picked up with cash purchases.

Last week was the first week in a LONG LONG time that bank-owned homes for sale in the Oroville real estate market numbered in the single digits. There were only 9, that’s right NINE, bank owned homes on the greater Oroville real estate market when I ran the report. Not having begun tracking this number until 2009, which was the depths of the Oroville real estate market downturn, I don’t have any data to support what a “normal” level of Oroville bank owned properties on the market should be.  But, if this trend continues I would speculate that by the end of the year, or the first part of 2014, these REO properties will be a non-issue. The wildcard is whether or not there actually is the dreaded “Shadow Inventory” lurking around the corner.

 

MLS Stats for Oroville Area Week Ending Week Ending Week Ending % Change
5/23/2013 5/30/2013 6/6/2013 Previous Week
# of Total Sales 16 16 14 -12.50%
# REO/Short Sales Sold (SS) 8 3 7 133.33%
% Sales that are REO/SS 50.00% 18.75% 50.00% 166.67%
Avg. List Price $145,563 $144,269 $87,729 -39.19%
Avg. Sold Price $140,741 $141,119 $77,704 -44.94%
Sold Price % of Listing Price 96.69% 97.82% 88.57% -9.45%
Avg. Days On The Market 54 41 98 139.02%
Total Sales Volume $2,329,000 $2,257,899 $1,040,350 -53.92%
# of Single Family Listings 151 150 150 0.00%
# Foreclosed On Market 14 10 9 -10.00%
% of Foreclosed on Market 9.27% 6.67% 6.00% -10.00%
# Short Sales on Market 8 8 9 12.50%
% Short Sales on Market 5.30% 5.33% 6.00% 12.50%
Days of Inventory Left 66 66 75 14.29%
# of Pending Sales 109 87 87 0.00%
Data compiled from the CRMLS multiple listing service for single family homes in the
Greater Oroville real estate market area including the areas of Oroville, Palermo, Concow,
Forbestown, Bangor, Berry Creek, Brush Creek, Honcut, Yankee Hill
Information deemed reliabe but not guaranteed.
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Weekly Sales Review is Back

By: Mark Wisterman

Here we are once again, meeting to review the past week’s market activity of Oroville home sales in the Lake Oroville real estate market.

There is not much out of the ordinary to report this week.  The only interesting statistic in this chart concerns the number “distressed” sales (bank owned or short sales) that have taken place 2 of the last 3 weeks. With only one of these sales last week and just 2 of them 2 weeks ago it will be interesting going forward to see if this is an early sign of a trend developing in the sale of Oroville homes or if it is just a temporary slowdown. The next few weeks will tell.

In a recent post on our office Facebook page at http://www.facebook.com/RealtyWorld.CA  I commented about the perception some buyers, and quite frankly their agents, have about prices in today’s Lake Oroville real estate market.  The comment being that there is no factual basis for anyone to make a blanket statement that everything is selling for more that asking price.  In fact for the 4 years that I have been tracking Oroville home sales there have been only 4 weeks where the average sales price has exceeded the average listing price. And not one, I repeat, NOT ONE of those weeks has occurred in 2013. In fact, the average sales price to listing price ratio is pretty much within historic norms. That is certainly not to say that some homes have not sold for more that asking price, because they have. My point here is that, as a buyer in the Oroville real estate market, you need to be sure you are fully informed about what the market is actually doing. It is easy to get sucked into the real estate hype. But do not feel bad if you do because many who work in the industry get sucked into it to. The reason: They do not take time to actually look at the numbers.

Lucky for you, you have this Lake Oroville real estate market blog site to help you stay on top of the numbers.

 

MLS Stats for Oroville Area Week Ending Week Ending Week Ending % Change
5/2/2013 5/9/2013 5/16/2013 Previous Week
# of Total Sales 10 13 10 -23.08%
# REO/Short Sales Sold (SS) 2 7 1 -85.71%
% Sales that are REO/SS 20.00% 53.85% 10.00% -81.43%
Avg. List Price $132,430 $141,500 $138,350 -2.23%
Avg. Sold Price $127,195 $130,244 $132,445 1.69%
Sold Price % of Listing Price 96.05% 92.05% 95.73% 4.01%
Avg. Days On The Market 57 96 94 -2.08%
Total Sales Volume $1,271,950 $1,693,169 $1,456,900 -13.95%
# of Single Family Listings 151 158 156 -1.27%
# Foreclosed On Market 17 21 20 -4.76%
% of Foreclosed on Market 11.26% 13.29% 12.82% -3.54%
# Short Sales on Market 9 6 8 33.33%
% Short Sales on Market 5.96% 3.80% 5.13% 35.04%
Days of Inventory Left 106 85 109

 

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Lake Oroville Weekly Home Sales Update

 Home sales for the Lake Oroville real estate market had somewhat of a breakout week this past week as there were significant improvements in the major valuations area of the data.

In addition to big increases in the average list price and the average sold price of the Oroville homes that sold this week, there was a doubling of the total sales volume of homes that closed escrow this week. The sale of distressed homes in the Oroville real estate market (those that are bank owned or were sold for less than was owed on them) continues to hold at levels that have not been seem since the depths of the mortgage mess.

Inventories of Lake Oroville  area homes for sale continue to be constrained which seems to be causing, for lack of a better term, a mini-frenzy among Oroville home buyers who seem to think that there will never be any other  Oroville homes on the market and have allowed themselves, often with the prodding of their agent, to get sucked into the unenviable position of having to engage in auctioneering to buy a home. In an upcoming post I will give you my take on why I have a concern that there may be a mini-bubble developing in the market right now.

MLS Stats for Oroville Area Week Ending Week Ending Week Ending Week Ending % Change
2/7/2013 2/14/2013 2/21/2013 2/28/2013 Previous Week
# of Total Sales 9 8 6 9 50.00%
# REO/Short Sales Sold (SS) 5 2 2 3 50.00%
% Sales that are REO/SS 55.56% 25.00% 33.33% 33.33% 0.00%
Avg. List Price $90,756 $122,516 $117,100 $144,367 23.29%
Avg. Sold Price $86,278 $117,138 $102,525 $140,861 37.39%
Sold Price % of Listing Price 95.07% 95.61% 87.55% 97.57% 11.44%
Avg. Days On The Market 66 178 51 64 25.49%
Total Sales Volume $776,500 $937,100 $615,150 $1,267,750 106.09%
# of Single Family Listings 158 155 150 150 0.00%
# Foreclosed On Market 20 20 18 19 5.56%
% of Foreclosed on Market 12.66% 12.90% 12.00% 12.67% 5.56%
# Short Sales on Market 8 7 7 9 28.57%
% Short Sales on Market 5.06% 4.52% 4.67% 6.00% 28.57%

 

 

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I Hope This Doesn’t Cause A Headache

Well, hello again, everyone! It is good to be able to take the time to update you on the real estate market in the Lake Oroville market area.

It has been a very long time since I last provided any meaningful stats on the Lake Oroville real estate market and I hope to be doing this on a much more frequent basis now that we are beginning to see new trends emerge in the number of Oroville homes that have sold as well as the number of Lake Oroville home listings that are currently on the market.

Probably the biggest news when in comes to the Oroville real estate market has to due with current inventories of homes available. Since the depths of the market crash we have seen a steadily decreasing number of  Oroville homes come to market. When you view the slide show that is included with this post, you will see that the number of homes available was just over 400 in March of 2009.  According to our Multiple Listing Database, as of this past Friday, there are now only 150 single family homes for sale in the greater Lake Oroville real estate market. This low inventory is making it extremely difficult on buyers as it causes a little bit of a “feeding frenzy’ whenever a home that is in move-in ready condition comes on the market in that some of the prices get bid up to the point where some buyers can no longer qualify.

You can expect this inventory shortage to continue until values recover to the point where homeowners, who are “underwater” and would like to sell but can’t, finally see that their homes are once again worth more than they owe on them. Barring anything that the government will do to screw things up, we should begin to see more news reports of significantly fewer of these upside down situations in the 2nd half of this year, which should provide the impetus towards an increasing number of Oroville CA homes for sale.

Below is a 4 week chart of the sales in the Lake Oroville CA market and below that is  a slide show that provides a little more overview on the current state of the Oroville Ca housing market.

As always, I appreciate your comments and questions.

 

MLS Stats for Oroville Area Week Ending Week Ending Week Ending Week Ending Previous %
1/31/2013 2/7/2013 2/14/2013 2/21/2013 Change
# of Total Sales 11 9 8 6 -25.00%
# REO/Short Sales Sold (SS) 6 5 2 2 0.00%
% Sales that are REO/SS 54.55% 55.56% 25.00% 33.33% 33.33%
Avg. List Price $130,550 $90,756 $122,516 $117,100 -4.42%
Avg. Sold Price $125,768 $86,278 $117,138 $102,525 -12.48%
Sold Price % of Listing Price 96.34% 95.07% 95.61% 87.55% -8.43%
Avg. Days On The Market 56 66 178 51 -71.35%
Total Sales Volume $1,383,450 $776,500 $937,100 $615,150 -34.36%
# of Single Family Listings 162 158 155 150 -3.23%
# Foreclosed On Market 22 20 20 18 -10.00%
% of Foreclosed on Market 13.58% 12.66% 12.90% 12.00% -7.00%
# Short Sales on Market 8 8 7 7 0.00%
% Short Sales on Market 4.94% 5.06% 4.52% 4.67% 3.33%

 

 

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